UPS

United Parcel Service, Inc.

NYQ · Industrials

$92.05

-$3.77 (-3.93%)down -3.93%

24 September 2026 · delayed 15+ min

F

Quality score56.6 / 100

Cut-offs are the grader's own: 97+ for an A+, below 60 is an F.

United Parcel Service, Inc. earns a F on strong ROE (>20%) and positive free cash flow but high debt-to-equity ratio (>2.0) and negative earnings growth. Consider alternatives with better risk/reward profiles.

Model stance WEAK HOLD Suggested position 4.0% · $400.00 IQInvest estimate
Adjusted for Moderate investors, Medium-term investors 4.0% suggested allocation Change these

These change the suggested position size and the stance, not the category scores. Amount is in dollars.

IQ-UPS-20260924engine v1 · 7-category weighted scorecard

What it is worth, depending who you ask.

Today’s price against the year it has had and the targets analysts publish. Every marker is a reported figure, not a projection of ours.

Lowest analyst target

$76.00

52-week low

$82.00

Today's price

$92.05

Mean analyst target

$115.81

52-week high

$122.41

Highest analyst target

$135.00

UPS trades 25% of the way up its 52-week range, between $82.00 and $122.41. The mean analyst target of $115.81 is 25.8% above today's price.

Today’s price 52-week range Analyst price targets

Scored categories

Financial healthStrong ROE (>20%); Positive free cash flow; High debt-to-equity ratio (>2.0); Negative earnings growth 70.023%

Profit margin

5.08%

Net profit per unit of revenue

healthyWhat this means

Of every 100 units of revenue, this much survives as profit.

A comfortable buffer between revenue and costs.

Operating margin

9.05%

Before interest and tax

thinWhat this means

Profit from operations, before interest and tax, per 100 of revenue.

Little cushion between operating costs and revenue.

Gross margin

22.41%

After the cost of goods only

moderateWhat this means

What is left of revenue after only the direct cost of the product.

A conventional manufacturing or mixed-model range.

Return on equity

29.60%

Profit per unit of shareholder capital

very strongWhat this means

Profit generated per unit of shareholder capital.

Rare when sustained — check whether debt is flattering it, since borrowing shrinks the equity denominator.

Return on assets

7.28%

Profit per unit of assets

strongWhat this means

Profit generated per unit of everything the company owns.

The assets are working hard.

Debt to equity

189.90

Borrowings against equity

heavily gearedWhat this means

Borrowings measured against shareholder capital.

Debt magnifies both good years and bad, and raises the stakes when rates rise.

Current ratio

1.18

Short-term assets over short-term debts

adequateWhat this means

Short-term assets against short-term obligations.

Enough to cover near-term bills.

Quick ratio

1.05

As above, excluding inventory

comfortableWhat this means

Short-term assets excluding inventory, against short-term debts.

Liquid assets exceed short-term obligations.

Revenue growth

7.60%

Year on year

growingWhat this means

Change in revenue against the same period last year.

A healthy expansion rate.

Earnings growth

-53.00%

Year on year

fallingWhat this means

Change in earnings against the same period last year.

Profit is declining even if revenue is not.

Revenue

$44.04B

Trailing twelve months

Free cash flow

$5.59B

Cash left after capital spending

Operating cash flow

$8.87B

Cash from the business itself

Payout ratio

121.93%

Dividends as a share of earnings

above earningsWhat this means

The share of earnings paid out as dividends.

The dividend exceeds profit, so it is being funded from cash or debt — rarely sustainable.

Growth & momentumLow Sharpe ratio (-0.25); Severe max drawdown (-57.9%) 35.022%

Return, 1 month

-12.87%

Return, 3 months

-13.52%

Return, 6 months

-2.47%

Return, year to date

-4.55%

Return, 1 year

16.92%

Return, 3 years

-30.68%

Sharpe ratio

-0.25

Return earned per unit of risk

negativeWhat this means

Return earned per unit of risk taken.

The risk taken has not been rewarded over this period.

Win rate

50.12%

Share of days that closed up

about evenWhat this means

The share of trading days that closed higher.

Close to a coin flip, which is the norm — returns come from the size of moves, not their count.

Average daily return

-0.02%

Best day

14.08%

Worst day

-14.11%

ValuationHigh P/B ratio (5.20) 70.018%

P/E ratio

17.11

Price against trailing earnings

moderateWhat this means

You pay 17.11 for every 1 unit of annual earnings.

Roughly the long-run market average band.

Forward P/E

11.41

Price against forecast earnings

lowWhat this means

Price against next year's *forecast* earnings.

The market expects little growth, or doubts the forecast.

PEG ratio

1.36

P/E adjusted for growth

fairWhat this means

P/E divided by the growth rate — it asks whether the price is justified by the growth.

Between 1 and 2 price and growth are roughly in step.

Price to book

5.20

Price against balance-sheet equity

well above bookWhat this means

Price against the accounting value of the company's net assets.

Normal for asset-light businesses, where the value sits in brands and software the balance sheet never records.

Price to sales

0.87

Price against revenue

lowWhat this means

Price against revenue — usable when a company has no profit yet.

You pay less than a unit of price per unit of sales.

EV / EBITDA

8.74

Whole-company value against cash earnings

moderateWhat this means

Whole-company value, debt included, against cash earnings.

A conventional range.

Enterprise value

$105.57B

Market value plus debt, minus cash — the price of the whole business

Shares outstanding

749,349,405

Shares the profit is split across

Dividend yield

6.85%

Annual dividend against price

very highWhat this means

Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price.

Unusually high yields often mean the market doubts the dividend will hold.

TechnicalStrong trend (ADX > 25); RSI oversold (<30) - potential buying opportunity; Price well below 200-day SMA (downtrend); MACD bearish (negative histogram) 40.015%

RSI (14)

28.8

Above 70 overbought, below 30 oversold

oversoldWhat this means

A 0–100 momentum gauge over the last 14 sessions.

Below 30 conventionally reads as oversold, and traders watch for a bounce — a convention, not a law.

MACD

-2.43

Momentum against its own trend

MACD histogram

-0.74

Positive is bullish

ADX

29.7

Trend strength; above 25 is a real trend

trendingWhat this means

Trend strength, regardless of direction.

Above 25 is conventionally read as a genuine trend in force.

20-day average

$100.40

50-day average

$103.83

200-day average

$102.45

Price vs 50-day

-11.34%

Price vs 200-day

-10.15%

Bollinger upper

$107.46

Bollinger lower

$93.34

Average true range

2.32

Typical daily trading range

Stochastic %K

3.6

RiskModerate beta (market-like risk); High drawdown risk 35.012%

Volatility, annualised

28.96%

How far it swings in a year

normalWhat this means

How far the price typically swings over a year.

A typical range for an individual share.

Beta

1.04

Moves against the wider market

market-likeWhat this means

How much the price moves relative to the wider market.

Moves roughly in step with the index.

Maximum drawdown

-57.92%

Worst peak-to-trough fall

severeWhat this means

The worst peak-to-trough fall in the period measured.

A fall this deep needs roughly a doubling to recover.

Risk category

High

The engine's own banding

Analyst viewAnalyst consensus: Buy; Significant upside potential (25.8%) 100.010%

Consensus

Buy

What covering analysts rate it

Analysts covering

26

Mean price target

$115.81

Highest target

$135.00

Lowest target

$76.00

Implied upside

25.81%

Target against today's price

largeWhat this means

How far the mean analyst target sits above today's price.

A wide gap, which as often means the price has fallen as that the target is right.

Price against the S&P 500

180 trading days to 2026-09-24

UPS is 8.5% down over the window, against 11.3% up for the S&P 500 — behind by 19.8 points.
UPS -8.5%S&P 500 +11.3%
Show the numbers
Sampled across the window. Both columns are rebased to 100 on 2026-01-07, so they can be compared directly.
DateCloseUPS rebasedS&P 500 rebased
2026-01-07$100.63100.0100.0
2026-01-29$101.19100.6100.7
2026-02-20$112.99112.399.8
2026-03-13$94.1093.595.8
2026-04-06$94.0593.595.5
2026-04-27$104.78104.1103.7
2026-05-18$94.0393.4107.0
2026-06-09$106.18105.5106.7
2026-07-01$107.82107.1108.1
2026-07-23$112.31111.6107.0
2026-08-13$103.88103.2112.7
2026-09-03$103.50102.8111.9

How the score was built

Each category is scored 0–100, then multiplied by its weight. The seven contributions sum to the quality score.
CategoryScoreWeightContribution
Financial health70.023%16.1
Growth & momentum35.022%7.7
Valuation70.018%12.6
Technical40.015%6.0
Risk35.012%4.2
Analyst view100.010%10.0
ESG50.00%0.0
Quality score100%56.6

ESG is scored but carries no weight in this grade. Add ?esg=1 to the address to include it — the engine then redistributes weight across the other six, so the whole scorecard changes, not just one row.

Argue with the model

Every other grader hands you a number. This one hands you the model.

Move a slider, press Recalculate, and the grade is rebuilt from the same category scores. Nothing is hidden: the scores are the engine's, only the weighting is yours.

What each model believes. Pick one above, or set your own sliders below.
ModelThe emphasis
IQInvest defaultThe engine's own weighting: financial health 23% and performance 22% lead, valuation 18%, then technicals, risk and analysts.
Value investorPrice against worth dominates: valuation 40%, financial health 25%. Chart signals count for almost nothing.
Growth investorMomentum first: performance 40% and technicals 20%. Whether the price is fair today gets just 5%.
Sleep at nightStability over everything: risk 35% and financial health 30% together outweigh all other categories combined.
ChartistThe tape over the fundamentals: technicals 45% and performance 25%. Valuation is nearly ignored.
18%
23%
22%
12%
15%
10%
0%

These are IQInvest's own weights, totalling 100%.

Your grade

F

56.6 / 100

Identical to the IQInvest grade.

All 66 metricsOne flat sortable table, for when you want everything at once.
Metric Category Value Source
20-day averageTechnical$100.40Yahoo Finance
200-day averageTechnical$102.45Yahoo Finance
50-day averageTechnical$103.83Yahoo Finance
52-week highMarket data$122.41Yahoo Finance
52-week lowMarket data$82.00Yahoo Finance
ADXTechnical29.7Yahoo Finance
Analysts coveringAnalyst view26Yahoo Finance
Average daily returnGrowth & momentum-0.02%Yahoo Finance
Average true rangeTechnical2.32Yahoo Finance
Average volumeMarket data4,777,258Yahoo Finance
Best dayGrowth & momentum14.08%Yahoo Finance
BetaRisk1.04Yahoo Finance
Bollinger lowerTechnical$93.34Yahoo Finance
Bollinger upperTechnical$107.46Yahoo Finance
ConsensusAnalyst viewBuyYahoo Finance
Current ratioFinancial health1.18Yahoo Finance
Day highMarket data$95.70Yahoo Finance
Day lowMarket data$91.63Yahoo Finance
Debt to equityFinancial health189.90Yahoo Finance
Dividend yieldValuation6.85%Yahoo Finance
Earnings growthFinancial health-53.00%Yahoo Finance
EmployeesMarket data460,000Yahoo Finance
Enterprise valueValuation$105.57BYahoo Finance
EV / EBITDAValuation8.74Yahoo Finance
Forward P/EValuation11.41Yahoo Finance
Free cash flowFinancial health$5.59BYahoo Finance
Gross marginFinancial health22.41%Yahoo Finance
Highest targetAnalyst view$135.00Yahoo Finance
Implied upsideAnalyst view25.81%Yahoo Finance
Lowest targetAnalyst view$76.00Yahoo Finance
MACDTechnical-2.43Yahoo Finance
MACD histogramTechnical-0.74Yahoo Finance
Maximum drawdownRisk-57.92%Yahoo Finance
Mean price targetAnalyst view$115.81Yahoo Finance
OpenMarket data$95.60Yahoo Finance
Operating cash flowFinancial health$8.87BYahoo Finance
Operating marginFinancial health9.05%Yahoo Finance
P/E ratioValuation17.11Yahoo Finance
Payout ratioFinancial health121.93%Yahoo Finance
PEG ratioValuation1.36Yahoo Finance
Previous closeMarket data$95.82Yahoo Finance
Price to bookValuation5.20Yahoo Finance
Price to salesValuation0.87Yahoo Finance
Price vs 200-dayTechnical-10.15%Yahoo Finance
Price vs 50-dayTechnical-11.34%Yahoo Finance
Profit marginFinancial health5.08%Yahoo Finance
Quick ratioFinancial health1.05Yahoo Finance
Return on assetsFinancial health7.28%Yahoo Finance
Return on equityFinancial health29.60%Yahoo Finance
Return, 1 monthGrowth & momentum-12.87%Yahoo Finance
Return, 1 yearGrowth & momentum16.92%Yahoo Finance
Return, 3 monthsGrowth & momentum-13.52%Yahoo Finance
Return, 3 yearsGrowth & momentum-30.68%Yahoo Finance
Return, 6 monthsGrowth & momentum-2.47%Yahoo Finance
Return, year to dateGrowth & momentum-4.55%Yahoo Finance
RevenueFinancial health$44.04BYahoo Finance
Revenue growthFinancial health7.60%Yahoo Finance
Risk categoryRiskHighYahoo Finance
RSI (14)Technical28.8Yahoo Finance
Shares outstandingValuation749,349,405Yahoo Finance
Sharpe ratioGrowth & momentum-0.25Yahoo Finance
Stochastic %KTechnical3.6Yahoo Finance
Volatility, annualisedRisk28.96%Yahoo Finance
VolumeMarket data8,427,639Yahoo Finance
Win rateGrowth & momentum50.12%Yahoo Finance
Worst dayGrowth & momentum-14.11%Yahoo Finance
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